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2024-12-14 11:30:48

Analyst Curran: There are almost no surprises in today's CPI data. The housing index rose by 0.3% in November, accounting for nearly 40% of the monthly increase in all projects.Traders increased their bets on the Fed's interest rate cut in December.Chris, analyst: After the US CPI was released, the US stock index futures once hit an intraday high, but the market reaction was still quite dull.


MacKenzie, analyst: With the possibility of interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, the yield of US Treasury bonds headed by two-year treasury bonds only slightly declined. Therefore, the market seems to be quite satisfied with the prospect of the Fed cutting interest rates again and then suspending it early next year.Zamrazilova, Deputy Governor of the Czech Central Bank: I hope to see the inflation rate drop in January, and then I can start to consider further relaxing interest rates.Analyst Anstey: Today's CPI data will hardly change anyone's prospects. However, those who still think that the Fed will remain inactive next week may reconsider, because inflation is not worse than expected. This seems to give the green light to cut interest rates by 25 basis points on December 18th.


Before the release of CPI in the United States, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates by 25 basis points in December was 86.1%. According to CME's "Fed Observation", the probability of the Fed keeping the current interest rate unchanged by December was 13.9%, and the cumulative probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points was 86.1%. The probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged by January next year is 10.6%, the probability of cutting interest rates by 25 basis points is 69.1%, and the probability of cutting interest rates by 50 basis points is 20.2%.US officials said that the United States is focused on providing Ukraine with the air defense system it needs to defend against Russian missiles and drones.US officials said that the United States is focused on providing Ukraine with the air defense system it needs to defend against Russian missiles and drones.

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